The Equation Series
Menu

Industry study 05 of 24 · Supply Chain Research Companion

Rail and Intermodal

~6,000 words

North American freight railroads are among the most profitable transport businesses in the world and among the least loved by their customers. Six Class I railroads — BNSF, Union Pacific, CSX, Norfolk Southern, Canadian National and CPKC — own their tracks, face little direct competition on many routes, and since the Staggers Rail Act of 1980 have been free to set most rates. Rail carries a large share of US long-distance freight ton-miles (roughly a quarter to two-fifths depending on the measure, BTS and AAR; verify the current figure) at a fraction of trucking's fuel and labour per ton-mile. From 2017, precision scheduled railroading (PSR) — Hunter Harrison's operating model, imposed at CSX in March 2017 and copied by most of the industry — drove operating ratios from the high 60s into the high 50s and low 60s: Union Pacific reported 59.8% for 2025 (adjusted 59.3%) on ~$24.5bn of revenue and ~$7.1bn of net income (company, 27 Jan 2026). Customers and regulators argued the cost was service, workforce and safety: the 2021–22 service crisis, the near-strike of 2022 settled by Congress, and Norfolk Southern's East Palestine derailment of 3 Feb 2023. Intermodal — containers and trailers moved by rail between trucks at each end — is rail's growth business and its most cyclical, competing head-on with trucking (04). The industry is now in the middle of its biggest structural change in a generation: CPKC (Canadian Pacific–Kansas City Southern, combined Apr 2023) created the first single-line railroad linking Canada, the US and Mexico, and Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern (announced Jul 2025, ~$85bn reported; STB docket FD 36873) would create the first US coast-to-coast railroad if approved. This section explains Class I economics and pricing power, PSR and its costs, intermodal partnerships, STB regulation and merger rules, the two mergers, East Palestine, rail labour, and Europe's contrasting model.

What the study covers

  1. 1Overview: a toll road with trains on it
  2. 2Units
  3. 3The North American rail map
  4. 4Class I economics and pricing power
  5. 5Precision scheduled railroading and its costs
  6. 6Intermodal
  7. 7STB regulation and the merger rules
  8. 8Safety and the licence to operate
  9. 9Rail labour
  10. 10Short lines, ports and Mexico
  11. 11Europe and elsewhere
  12. 12How to read rail numbers
  13. 13Key numbers
  14. 14Landmark companies and cases
  15. 15Pitfalls
  16. 16How an expert thinks about it
  17. 17Glossary

Companies in this study